Notes from the Studio

What a Futurist Helped Me See About the Next 10 Years of My Business

strategic-foresight-small-business

I spent a morning with Becky Cooperman of White Knuckle Futures.

She is a strategic foresight consultant, which is a fancy way of saying she helps you stop reacting to the next quarter and start planning for the next decade. It was my first real experience with strategic foresight for small business owners, and honestly, it reframed how I think about the next ten years of mine.

I went in expecting a SWOT exercise. I left with something much weirder and much more useful.

What strategic foresight for small business does

Most business planning is short. You look at your pipeline, your last six months, maybe your next two quarters. Then you adjust. Then you repeat.

Strategic foresight zooms out. Way out.

Becky walked me through my current work, my past clients, my skill set, my industry, and the trends pressing on all of it. Then we started extrapolating. Where’s the design industry going. What’s happening to creative roles. What gets automated. What gets devalued. What gets more rare.

By lunch, I had a thesis about my own business that I had not seen coming.

The pattern we surfaced

The junior layer of creative work is being stripped out by AI. Entry-level designers are getting fewer roles. As a result, the work they used to cut their teeth on, resizing assets, basic layouts, simple production, is increasingly being handled by tools.

That sounds like an industry problem, and it is. However, on a 10-year timeline, it is also a supply problem.

Junior designers become senior designers. That’s how the talent pipeline works. So if you remove the bottom rungs of the ladder, in a decade you don’t have a shortage of juniors. You have a shortage of seniors.

Specifically, you have a shortage of seniors who came up doing the unglamorous, hands-on work that builds craft knowledge.

Why this points me back to print

I came up in print.

I know paper weights. I know how ink behaves on uncoated stock. I know what a press check actually looks like, and why the file that looked perfect on screen will betray you at 300 line screen on a Heidelberg.

For a long time, that knowledge has felt like a vintage skill. Useful, occasionally, but not central. Cute at parties. Because everything went digital. Everything got faster. As a result, print felt like a rare aftertought.

Becky and I traced it forward. In 10 years, if the junior production pipeline keeps getting hollowed out, the people who actually understand physical production are going to be hard to find. Specialty print is already having a renaissance. Tactile, considered, beautifully produced work is what stands out when everything else is a generated JPEG in Canva; or worse, Claude.

My differentiator in 2036 is not going to be that I can move fast in Figma. Plenty of people will. My differentiator is going to be that I know how to make something tangible.

What I mean when I say “real”

A few years back, I worked on a small run postcard featuring a chameleon. It was printed in heavy uncoated stock, with a soft touch cover and a spot of color changing foil. Get it? Because it’s a chameleon!?

Nothing about that piece would land the same way as a PDF. Therefore, it had to be designed for the object it was going to become.

That meant being on the phone with the print rep about what foil options would serve the color-changing purpose of the piece.

This is the layer of knowledge that doesn’t exist in a tool. You can’t prompt your way to it. You build it by standing next to a press and watching what happens.

What this changes about how I work now

First, I’m going to keep print in my mix on purpose, even when digital pays better in the short term. Because skills atrophy when you don’t use them.

In addition, I’m going to write more about production, paper, and process. If this is where I am headed, I want to be findable for it.

I’m going to stop apologizing internally for being a generalist with deep print roots. That combination is exactly what’s becoming rare.

And I’m going to keep working with people like Becky, because the view from my desk is too narrow to see this stuff on my own. This is also the kind of long-view thinking an established business with systems actually allows for. When you’re not sprinting from project to project, you have room to plan in decades.

If you’ve never sat with a futurist, I cannot recommend it enough. You walk in thinking you’re getting a planning session. You walk out with a thesis about your own work that reorganizes everything.

That is what strategic foresight for small business owners actually delivers: A new way of seeing.

Picture of Astrid M. Storey

Astrid M. Storey

Astrid Storey is originally from Panama and arrived in Denver in 2003. During the next two decades, she’s juggled a career in a variety of creative and marketing roles while building her own studio, Storey Creative, with clients in real estate, health care, publishing, and tech.

LinkedIn
Threads

Read More

Creative Biz, Unfiltered

The Myth of the 5-Year Website

You’ve probably heard this one before: “A good website should last you five years.” It’s one of those business myths that sounds comforting—like buying a

Read More »
“In a decade of working with designers,
Astrid has been the most communicative and talented yet.”
— Amber Taufen, Homelight